ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, and Economic Growth

Foreign direct investment has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in the short run, whereas that of trade openness is both in the long and short run. The economic growth of India is caused by FDI, trade openness, and exchange rate, separately as well as together, in the short run. The findings advocate for measures and regulations to manage FDI and prioritise human capital development, financial sector enlargement, and trade expansion as well as improved trade policy reforms to eliminate numerous trade restrictions to ensure sustained long–run economic growth in the country.

Remembering Ajit Kumar Ghose (1947–2023)

The intellectual contributions of Ajit Kumar Ghose in the field of labour economics have been far-reaching. Focusing on the interlinked themes of dual economies and structural transformation, this obituary reflects upon the salient features of Ghosh’s many intellectual contributions towards studying the Indian economy.

Land Regulations and Doing Business in Himachal Pradesh

Land management has a far-reaching effect on growth, distribution of incomes, and spatial spread of economic activities. The governments, therefore, play a crucial role in establishing and supporting an ecosystem for firms by enacting laws and making rules that establish and clarify property rights, reducing the cost of disputes resolution and increasing the predictability of economic transactions. This article attempts to carry out a diagnostic analysis of land laws and practices in Himachal Pradesh and identifies the problem areas for regulatory reforms and makes a case for taking up regulatory impact assessment.

Understanding the Structural Dynamics of Aggregate Demand Components and Economic Growth in India

A significant fluctuation in the growth rate of gross domestic product is observed, which comes along with the fluctuations of other demand components from 1951–52 to 2019–20. Applying autoregressive distributed lag to the co-integration model, and incorporating the structural changes in policies since 1991, it is found that in the long run, out of the five components that significantly influence the aggregate demand and hence the economic growth of India, the private final consumption expenditure plays the most significant role followed by private fixed investment—a 1% increase in the PFCE leads to an average 0.96% increase in the GDP. The result also reveals that the structural policy reforms implemented since 1991 have created the virtuous cycle of economic growth in the economy and should be a policy priority.

Investment Behaviour in India

Most of the investment slowdown debates have been around aggregate investment but disaggregate investment institution- and assets-wise may respond heterogeneously with respect to the macroprudential policy measures. The present study explores the investment dynamics at disaggregate level for 2004–19 in the wake of changing economic environment characterised by active utilisation of monetary and fiscal policies, varying monetary transmission effect, economic uncertainty, business environment, and financial pressures either by credit shortfall or debt overhang.

Economic Growth and Social Progress

Bangladesh at 50: Development and Challenges edited by S Narayan and Sreeradha Datta, Hyderabad: Orient BlackSwan, 2020; pp 263, `995.

Dietary Diversity during COVID-19 in India

The article reports the findings on the changing dietary patterns of Indian households during COVID-19, based on an analysis of the Consumer Pyramids Household Survey. The impact of the pandemic on diet composition was most severe for the poor and the deprived, who substituted inferior cereals for expensive cereals and spent lower amounts on nourishing foods such as fruits and vegetables.

FDI, GDP and Regional Disparity

Foreign direct investment reveals the tendency to fl ow to the industrial agglomerates. Some scholars express the concern that the skewed distribution of FDI can worsen the regional disparity. This article reveals that FDI has limited and unexpectedly negative effects on the Indian gross domestic product. Hence, the fear that skewed FDI infl ow can worsen regional disparity stands rejected.

Assessing the Recent Indian Economic Growth

Although the headline growth in 2021–22 and the projections for 2022–23 following the disastrous COVID-19 pandemic are impressive, indeed the highest among major economies, this is not the hoped-for V-shaped recovery as the output loss is far from being recouped. India’s output loss is among the highest in major G20 economies. It may be difficult for the Indian economy to sustain an average growth above 5% in a business-as-usual scenario because its potential growth has declined through hysteresis, and it faces several headwinds going forward.

Impact of Public Debt on the Economic Growth of Subnational Economies in India

This study examines both the short- and long-run impact of public debt on the economic growth of Uttar Pradesh during the post-reform period of 30 years by employing the vector error correction model. The empirical analysis revealed that the increase in public debt-to-gross state domestic product ratio and interest payments burden would have an adverse impact on the long-run economic growth of UP, while having no significant impact on the short-run growth. It is also notable that the effective interest rate has negatively correlated with the gross capital formation in UP, and the latter has shown significant positive long-run association with the economic growth. In order to attract investments and economic growth, the state Government of UP should continue a countercyclical fiscal stance that would help in adhering to fiscal sustainability rules by smoothing out the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic.

What Must be the Priority of the Budget?

Improving agriculture incomes and boosting consumer demand must be the top priorities.

 

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