ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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Karnataka Elections

Strategising for 2024

Political parties are gearing up for the 2024 general elections, and the recent assembly elections in Karnataka have provided a template for the opposition parties to defeat the Bharatiya Janata Party. The success of the campaign pivoted on incubating and empowering local leadership as against the centralisation of power and high-handedness within the party.

India’s national exercise of parliamentary democracy, the general elections, is scheduled for 2024, where the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will be seeking a third consecutive term in the Lok Sabha; a feat that is yet to be achieved in the post-liberalisation period. Many experts view state elections as an indicator of the mood of the voters and extrapolate the observations to the general elections, especially when the two are conducted in close proximity. Five large states, namely Karnataka, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Telangana were scheduled to hold assembly elections in 2023. With the exception of Telangana, two parties are in a head-to-head battle in the other four states, thereby making the assembly elections a dress rehearsal for the race to the Lok Sabha in 2024.

The Karnataka elections were important for both the Congress and the BJP, primarily for four reasons. First, both parties have little potential to be a senior partner in a ruling coalition in any other state in the southern part of India. A loss for the BJP in Karnataka resulted in an electoral situation where its presence in the southern part of India is threatened. Second, the electoral juggernaut of the BJP that was steamrolling its way to victory in the assembly elections across the country had to be halted. If the Congress was to effect this halt, then it would make the party a front runner as the leader for the opposition’s campaign in 2024. Third, a loss for the BJP would even­tually put a restriction on its representation in the Rajya Sabha, thereby adversely affecting the party’s ability to pass their bills through the upper house. Fourth, a victory in Karnataka would give the Congress the ability to propose policies that would be conducive for its campaign in 2024.

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Updated On : 3rd Oct, 2023
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