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Articles by Ankush AgrawalSubscribe to Ankush Agrawal

Manipur’s Population Conundrum

Vol. 55, Issue No. 48, 05 Dec, 2020
Ankush Agrawal, Vikas Kumar

This paper examines Manipur’s census statistics for the period between 1991 and 2011. It argues that conventional demographic factors cannot explain the abnormal population growth rates reported in parts of northern Manipur, and that the abnormalities in the headcount are instead associated with competition for seats in the state legislative assembly. Manipur’s experience is used to draw attention to systemic problems related to the inadequacy of metadata supplied by the census, lack of guidelines for correction of census data, impact of political interference on data quality, and cascading effect of errors in fundamental statistics, such as headcount, on other government statistics.

A Cartographic Mess

Vol. 52, Issue No. 29, 22 Jul, 2017
Ankush Agrawal, Vikas Kumar

Population and area are the two most essential statistics describing any jurisdiction. Area is the more fundamental of the two because population is defined for a given area. The anomalies in estimates of Nagaland’s area are examined.

Infirmities in NSSO Data for Nagaland

Vol. 49, Issue No. 12, 22 Mar, 2014
Ankush Agrawal, Vikas Kumar

The samples of the National Sample Survey Office are unlikely to be representative of Nagaland. This is so not because of the size of the sample, but because of the arbitrary restriction to villages within 5 kms of bus routes, whereas the bulk of the rural and tribal population is located farther from the roads. Further, it is argued that the Census of India data, which is used as the sampling frame, is found to be unreliable for Nagaland.

Nagaland's Demographic Somersault

Vol. 48, Issue No. 39, 28 Sep, 2013
Ankush Agrawal, Vikas Kumar

After two decades of very high growth, Nagaland's population declined between 2001 and 2011 though there were no epidemical diseases, wars, famines, natural calamities, political disturbances, or any significant changes in the state's socio-economic characteristics. This decline is unprecedented in the history of independent India. It has been shown that the census estimates of the state's population for 1981-2001 are internally inconsistent. In the light of this, this paper uses information from the Sample Registration System and National Family Health Surveys to examine the reliability of the census figures in Nagaland between 1971 and 2011. It suggests that the census estimates are inconsistent with these sources of information.

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